Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Aserrí		Uruguay de Coronado

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.15	2.45
	2.61	2.97	2.51
	2.63	3.39	2.54	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.45
	2.61	3.02	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.5)	3.13 ↓ (3.42)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aserrí
34.7%

Draw
29%

Uruguay de Coronado
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 1.

Aserrí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uruguay de Coronado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aserrí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aserrí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
02.03.26	Pitbulls - Aserrí	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Aserrí - Pitbulls	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Aserrí - Santa Ana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWTT
- Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
04.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Desamparados	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Pitbulls	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Carmelita - Uruguay de Coronado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
17.01.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	2:2
08.10.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	1:1
23.08.25	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	0:0
08.03.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	1:2
25.01.25	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1
22.09.24	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	0:0
10.08.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	2:0

Upcoming Matches