Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Desamparados		Sansinena

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.35
	3.15	2.65	2.4
	3.1	2.7	2.39
	3.37	2.41	2.54
	2.95	2.88	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.85)	2.68 ↓ (2.71)	2.43 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desamparados
28.9%

Draw
33.8%

Sansinena
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

32.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

32.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sansinena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sansinena than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	83.3%	8.3%

Desamparados - Sansinena Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Desamparados will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Sansinena will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Desamparados is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sansinena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sansinena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Desamparados won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Desamparados won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Desamparados
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.22	Huracán Las Heras - Desamparados	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0 ✺
09.07.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Desamparados	3:1 ✺
03.07.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Desamparados - CA Liniers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLTW
- CA Sansinena
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.22	Sansinena - Cipolletti	1:3 ✺
16.07.22	Villa Mitre - Sansinena	3:0 ✺
10.07.22	Sansinena - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:3 ✺
26.06.22	Sansinena - Huracán Las Heras	2:0 ✺
22.06.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sansinena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.04.22	Sansinena - Desamparados	3:0
24.10.21	Desamparados - Sansinena	1:0
25.07.21	Sansinena - Desamparados	1:1
27.01.20	Desamparados - Sansinena	2:0
31.08.19	Sansinena - Desamparados	0:0

Desamparados - Sansinena