Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Desamparados		Sportivo Peñarol

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.65
	2.55	2.8	2.75
	2.65	2.75	2.7
	2.96	2.26	3.02
	2.65	2.9	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.26)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	2.77 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desamparados
33.7%

Draw
33.7%

Sportivo Peñarol
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desamparados's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desamparados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Peñarol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Desamparados will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Desamparados won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Desamparados won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Desamparados
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.07.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Desamparados	3:1 ✺
03.07.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Desamparados - CA Liniers	2:0 ✺
22.06.22	Círculo Deportivo - Desamparados	2:2 ✺
18.06.22	Desamparados - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWTL
- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
03.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.06.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1 ✺
22.06.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sansinena	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.04.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Desamparados	2:2
04.09.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Desamparados	1:0
16.05.21	Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol	3:3
09.12.20	Sportivo Peñarol - Desamparados	0:2
10.11.19	Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol	0:2

Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol