The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Desamparados 33.7%
Draw 33.7%
Sportivo Peñarol 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
32.2%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
30.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desamparados's form might have worsened.
Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desamparados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Peñarol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Desamparados will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Desamparados won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Desamparados won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
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