The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Peñarol 36.5%
Draw 33.6%
Villa Mitre 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
32.5%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
31.7%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Peñarol's form might have worsened.
Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Mitre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Peñarol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
60%
6.7%
Sportivo Peñarol - Villa Mitre Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sportivo Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Villa Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Sportivo Peñarol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Villa Mitre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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