Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Franciacorta

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.15	2.86	3.36
	2.12	3.1	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.03)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	3.3 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
42.5%

Draw
30.2%

Franciacorta
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Franciacorta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franciacorta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Desenzano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.03.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Desenzano Calvina - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Varese - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Desenzano Calvina - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Arconatese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWW
- Franciacorta FC
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.03.23	Franciacorta - Seregno	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Varesina - Franciacorta	3:5 ✺
26.02.23	Franciacorta - Alcione	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Casatese - Franciacorta	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Franciacorta - Sona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
13.11.22	Franciacorta - Desenzano Calvina	3:2
06.02.22	Desenzano Calvina - Franciacorta	1:0
03.10.21	Franciacorta - Desenzano Calvina	0:3
24.02.21	Desenzano Calvina - Franciacorta	2:1
04.10.20	Franciacorta - Desenzano Calvina	2:0

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