Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	1.98	3.2	3.31
	1.98	3.2	3.31
	1.99	3.3	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (1.98)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	3.31 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
45.2%

Draw
27.8%

Folgore Caratese
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.8%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Folgore Caratese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).

Desenzano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Folgore Caratese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Desenzano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.11.23	Villa Valle - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.11.23	Folgore Caratese - Tritium	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
02.11.23	Folgore Caratese - Clivense	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Villa Valle - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
05.03.23	Desenzano Calvina - Folgore Caratese	1:1
30.10.22	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	3:0
01.05.22	Desenzano Calvina - Folgore Caratese	1:1
19.01.22	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	2:1

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