Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 25

Date: 31 January 2024, Wednesday


	Desenzano Calvina		Legnano

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.95	3.8
	1.96	3	3.75
	1.86	3.13	4.03
	1.83	3.1	3.6
	1.83	3.18	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.16)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.89 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
47.8%

Draw
29.2%

Legnano
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desenzano Calvina's performance.

Legnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legnano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Desenzano Calvina - Legnano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Desenzano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legnano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Desenzano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.01.24	Caldiero Terme - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Desenzano Calvina - Club Milano	1:1 ✺
17.01.24	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Desenzano Calvina - Clivense	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWWW
- ASD Legnano Calcio 1913
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.01.24	Legnano - Pro Palazzolo	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Caravaggio - Legnano	0:0 ✺
17.01.24	Legnano - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Folgore Caratese - Legnano	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Legnano - Tritium	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
04.10.23	Legnano - Desenzano Calvina	0:1
06.03.22	Legnano - Desenzano Calvina	2:2
24.10.21	Desenzano Calvina - Legnano	4:0

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