Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Crema		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.2	1.95
	3.68	3.30	1.93	Watch
	3.49	3.24	1.99
	3.55	3.25	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
25.7%

Draw
28%

Desenzano Calvina
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crema than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Crema - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): -1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crema won 2.

In recent matches, Crema has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Desenzano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Desenzano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crema won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Crema won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Sasso Marconi - Crema	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Crema - Tropical Coriano	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Crema - Trevigliese	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pro Sesto - Crema	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Lentigione - Crema	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	5:1 ✺
12.10.25	Trevigliese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Progresso - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Desenzano Calvina - Correggese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
14.04.25	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:1
01.12.24	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	2:0
17.01.24	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:2
20.09.23	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	2:3
13.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	0:1
31.10.21	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	1:1
18.04.21	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	2:1

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