Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Pro Palazzolo		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.15	2.35
	2.68	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.22	2.36
	2.75	3.14	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.47)	3.2 ↓ (3.43)	2.38 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Palazzolo
33.7%

Draw
28.3%

Desenzano Calvina
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Palazzolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Palazzolo won 2.

Pro Palazzolo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Desenzano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pro Palazzolo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Palazzolo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.01.26	Rovato Vertovese - Pro Palazzolo	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Tropical Coriano - Pro Palazzolo	3:3 ✺
14.12.25	Pro Palazzolo - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Crema - Pro Palazzolo	1:5 ✺
30.11.25	Pro Palazzolo - Trevigliese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWWL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.01.26	Desenzano Calvina - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Desenzano Calvina - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pistoiese - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Desenzano Calvina - Imolese	4:3 ✺
30.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.09.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Palazzolo	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.05.25	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	2:1
15.01.25	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	1:0
18.09.24	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Palazzolo	0:0
12.05.24	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	1:3
07.01.24	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 penalties

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