Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		SantAngelo

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.21	4.13	Watch
	1.81	3.2	4.28
	1.81	3.2	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 (3.2)	4.23 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
49.9%

Draw
28.5%

SantAngelo
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

SantAngelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Procaccio A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Strechie R. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, ⚽,
78', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

Desenzano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SantAngelo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Desenzano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Desenzano is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Desenzano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Desenzano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.10.25	Trevigliese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Progresso - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Desenzano Calvina - Correggese	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tuttocuoio - Desenzano Calvina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTW
- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.10.25	SantAngelo - Rovato Vertovese	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Pavia - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.10.25	Tropical Coriano - SantAngelo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	SantAngelo - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Pro Sesto - SantAngelo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
23.02.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	1:1
23.10.24	SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina	2:0

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