Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 4

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Desenzano Calvina		Correggese

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	6.3
	1.48	3.22	8.85
	1.52	3.4	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.84)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	7.27 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
60.3%

Draw
27.2%

Correggese
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desenzano Calvina's performance.

Correggese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correggese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Desenzano Calvina - Correggese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Bovolon E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Arrondini D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+15', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Correggese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Desenzano is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desenzano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.09.25	Tuttocuoio - Desenzano Calvina	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Palazzolo	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Piacenza - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.05.25	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLW
- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.09.25	Tropical Coriano - Correggese	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Correggese - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Correggese - SantAngelo	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Correggese - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
30.04.23	SantAngelo - Correggese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
23.02.20	Correggese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1

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