Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Lima (Moncao)


	Desportivo Monção		Vianense

	1	X	2
	8.1	4.65	1.3
	7.88	5.23	1.26
	8.35	5.37	1.27	Watch
	8.5	4.6	1.29
	9.6	5.05	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.49 ↑ (4.65)	4.98 ↑ (3.6)	1.27 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Monção
10.7%

Draw
18.2%

Vianense
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

25%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportivo Monção's form might have worsened.

Vianense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vianense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportivo Monção, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vianense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Desportivo Monção - Vianense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 4, ⚽,
80', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Desportivo Monção is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vianense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Vianense is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Desportivo Monção won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Desportivo Monção won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.04.26	Tirsense - Desportivo Monção	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Chaves B	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Limianos - Desportivo Monção	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Bragança - Desportivo Monção	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLLWL
- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.04.26	Vianense - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Vianense	1:5 ✺
15.03.26	Vianense - Celoricense	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Vilaverdense - Vianense	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Vianense - Camacha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.12.25	Vianense - Desportivo Monção	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Desportivo Monção - Vianense	0:0
23.10.22	Vianense - Desportivo Monção	2:1

Desportivo Monção - Vianense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide