Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Lima (Moncao)


	Desportivo Monção		Mirandela

	1	X	2
	2.48	3	2.68
	2.29	3.05	2.94
	2.37	3.08	2.88	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.88
	2.33	2.97	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.71)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	2.87 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Monção
38.1%

Draw
30.4%

Mirandela
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Monção has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desportivo Monção that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desportivo Monção - Mirandela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Desportivo Monção has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mirandela has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desportivo Monção won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.26	Ribeira Brava - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Desportivo Monção - Celoricense	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Camacha	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Machico - Desportivo Monção	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWL
- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.26	Bragança - Mirandela	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandela - Ribeira Brava	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Celoricense - Mirandela	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.10.25	Mirandela - Desportivo Monção	1:0

Desportivo Monção - Mirandela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide