Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)


	Vilaverdense		Vianense

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.05	2.25
	3.1	3.24	2.11
	2.94	3.16	2.29	Watch
	3	3	2.15
	3.1	3.36	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.36)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	2.19 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
30.1%

Draw
28.6%

Vianense
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilaverdense's form might have worsened.

Vianense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vianense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilaverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vianense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vilaverdense - Vianense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Recent form of Vilaverdense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vianense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilaverdense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.03.26	Tirsense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vilaverdense - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Limianos - Vilaverdense	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.03.26	Vianense - Camacha	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Machico - Vianense	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Vianense - Brito	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Martinho - Vianense	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Vianense - Bragança	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Vianense - Vilaverdense	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.22	Vilaverdense - Vianense	1:1
09.10.21	Vianense - Vilaverdense	1:2
16.02.21	Vilaverdense - Vianense	0:2
20.09.20	Vianense - Vilaverdense	0:0

Vilaverdense - Vianense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide