Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo (Santo Tirso)


	Tirsense		Desportivo Monção

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.85	8.6
	1.2	5.4	11.09
	1.25	5.11	10.16	Watch
	1.29	4.2	10
	1.3	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.43)	4.86 ↑ (4.1)	9.97 ↑ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
72.1%

Draw
18.7%

Desportivo Monção
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.4%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirsense's performance.

Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Tirsense - Desportivo Monção Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Tirsense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Desportivo Monção is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tirsense is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Tirsense will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tirsense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tirsense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.03.26	Mirandela - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tirsense - Ribeira Brava	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Celoricense - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tirsense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Camacha - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWT
- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Chaves B	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Limianos - Desportivo Monção	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Bragança - Desportivo Monção	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Ribeira Brava - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:4
24.09.22	Tirsense - Desportivo Monção	2:0

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