Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck)

Referee: Billeter A. (Usa)


	Detroit City		Atlanta United II

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.35	4.5	6.6
	1.36	5.22	7.31
	1.32	5.05	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	4.84 ↑ (4.74)	7 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
68%

Draw
18.9%

Atlanta United II
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19.2%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Detroit City - Atlanta United II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Detroit City has the most likely position - 6 (15.26%), has project points - 50, has currently - 21, has a good chance of playoffs (69%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (22.19%), has project points - 29, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, small importance 15, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Detroit City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlanta United II is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Detroit City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Detroit City is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Detroit City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
18.05.22	Miami - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
14.05.22	Detroit City - Loudoun United	4:2 ✺
07.05.22	Tulsa - Detroit City	3:1 ✺
30.04.22	Detroit City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLWW
- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
04.05.22	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	0:4 ✺
23.04.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Atlanta United II	4:0 ✺
16.04.22	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Atlanta United II - Detroit City	0:4 ✺
02.04.22	Hartford Athletic - Atlanta United II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.04.22	Atlanta United II - Detroit City	0:4

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