Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Detroit City		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.2	5	Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.1
	1.46	4.1	5.2
	1.52	4.45	5.49
	1.48	4.33	5.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	4.24 ↑ (3.98)	5.27 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
61.2%

Draw
21.5%

New York Red Bulls 2
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

22.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Detroit City - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Detroit City has the most likely position - 6 (12.44%), has project points - 50, has currently - 14, has a good chance of playoffs (67%), has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (34.3%), has project points - 28, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, small importance 15, small match rating 11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Detroit City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

New York Red Bulls 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently New York Red Bulls 2 have a series of home games.

In this match Detroit City is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Detroit City to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
23.04.22	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
15.04.22	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Atlanta United II - Detroit City	0:4 ✺
02.04.22	Detroit City - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTT
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
23.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Tulsa - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
23.03.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Loudoun United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLL

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