The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United II 14%
Draw 20.6%
Louisville City 65.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
22.2%
59.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.7%
23.1%
61.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
18.2%
45.5%
Atlanta United II - Louisville City Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Louisville City will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Louisville City: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (19.86%), has project points - 31, has currently - 6, has a small chance of playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Louisville City has the most likely position - 1 (53.25%), has project points - 67, has currently - 21, has a very good chance of playoffs (98%), has a good chance of qtrs (82%), has a good chance of semis (55%), has a chance of final (33%), has a chance of win league (17%).
This event has small quality12, small importance10, small match rating11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 1.
Recent matches Atlanta United II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Louisville City in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Louisville City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Louisville City is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta United II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
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