Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Miami		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	3.30	1.88
	3.40	3.30	1.92
	3.61	3.57	2.05
	3.82	3.72	1.85	Watch
	3.90	3.70	1.85
	3.54	3.54	1.98	Watch
	3.45	3.40	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.64)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
25.6%

Draw
26.4%

Detroit City
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.4%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Miami - Detroit City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Detroit City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 13. Knutson D. 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 8. Romero M. 5. Tori R. 16. Diaz G. 22. Da Costa R. 10. Locadia J. 26. Rocha A.	91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Stanley A. 4. Montgomery C. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 14. Yamazaki H. 8. Diop A. 21. Rodriguez M. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 7. Smith D. 15. Dalou A.
Substitutes
17. Levin J. 37. Mello D. 24. Milanes Navarro C. D. 23. Musto T. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 6. Tulu 7. Tunbridge M.	26. Egbuchulam C. 18. Etaka P. 20. Hope-Gund R. 16. Mkuruva T. (G) 9. Morris B. 33. Silva T. 6. Williams R.
Coaches
Maddoni G.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Etaka P. ↑,
27', Yamazaki H. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Dalou A. (A),
43', Rocha A. 🟨,
44', Calfo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rocha A. ↓, Milanes Navarro C. D. ↑,
54', Hernandez-Foster K. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Locadia J. ⚽, Da Costa R. (A),
62', Locadia J. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Diaz G. ⚽, Milesi A. (A),
66', Stanley A. 🟨,
70', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
70', Diop A. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
70', Stanley A. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
76', Da Costa R. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
76', Romero M. ↓, Musto T. ↑,
80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Egbuchulam C. ↑,
80', Dalou A. ↓, Hope-Gund R. ↑,
84', Diaz G. ↓, Tulu ↑,
87', Milanes Navarro C. D. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Silva T. ⚽, Hernandez-Foster K. (A),
90+4', Knutson D. 🟨,
90+6', Egbuchulam C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Detroit City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.24%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
25.07.26	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:3 ✺
22.07.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Miami	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Miami - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Sarasota Paradise - Miami	0:5 ✺
USL Championship
05.07.26	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWT
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
25.07.26	Detroit City - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Fort Wayne - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
02.07.26	Birmingham Legion - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
20.06.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.05.26	Detroit City - Miami	2:1
21.06.25	Detroit City - Miami	2:0
08.03.25	Miami - Detroit City	0:2
19.10.24	Detroit City - Miami	3:0
29.06.24	Miami - Detroit City	0:4
09.09.23	Detroit City - Miami	2:1
15.04.23	Miami - Detroit City	0:0

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