The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deusto 40.2%
Draw 29.5%
Leioa 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
30%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
29%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deusto's performance.
Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leioa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deusto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leioa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 3.
Deusto has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Leioa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Deusto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Leioa might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
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