Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Deusto		Santurtzi

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.1
	2.55	3.19	2.63
	2.07	3.29	3.34	Watch
	2.37	3.26	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	3 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deusto
40.4%

Draw
28.9%

Santurtzi
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Deusto - Santurtzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Santurtzi	5	1	0	4	2:7	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Deusto - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.48%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	Real Sociedad C - Deusto	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Deusto - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Lagun Onak - Deusto	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Zarautz KE - Deusto	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Deusto - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTLL
- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	Santurtzi - Portugalete	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	San Ignacio - Santurtzi	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Santurtzi - Derio	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Touring KE - Santurtzi	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santurtzi - Alavés C	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Santurtzi - Deusto	1:1
21.09.24	Deusto - Santurtzi	2:1
16.02.20	Santurtzi - Deusto	3:1
22.09.19	Deusto - Santurtzi	0:1
31.03.19	Santurtzi - Deusto	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Santurtzi - Deusto	0:1
02.09.17	Deusto - Santurtzi	1:0

Deusto - Santurtzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide