Match Info

I Liqa - Round 9

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Difai Ağsu		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3	2.58	Watch
	2.85	2.76	2.56
	1.80	4.09	3.42	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.48
	2.62	2.71	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.38)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	2.73 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Difai Ağsu
37.2%

Draw
29.1%

MOIK Baku
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.8%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Difai Ağsu - MOIK Baku Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Qardasli K. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Faracov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Faracov S. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone I Liqa (Relegation)).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Difai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan First Division
22.11.25	Şəfa - Difai Ağsu	1:1 ✺
06.11.25	Difai Ağsu - Zagatala	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Shimal - Difai Ağsu	1:4 ✺
16.10.25	Difai Ağsu - Shahdag Qusar	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Cəbrayıl - Difai Ağsu	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWLL
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
20.11.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
05.11.25	Səbail - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Neftchi Baku - MOIK Baku	6:2 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.10.25	MOIK Baku - Baku Sporting	0:0 ✺
16.10.25	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
27.03.25	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	1:3
24.12.24	Difai Ağsu - MOIK Baku	0:1
25.09.24	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	2:2
14.03.24	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	4:1

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