Match Info

I Liqa - Round 26

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Shimal		Difai Ağsu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.42	Watch
	3.92	2.39	2.42	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.58)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.56 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimal
32.1%

Draw
31.3%

Difai Ağsu
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.1%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Shimal - Difai Ağsu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Ondo W. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Shimal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Difai is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Difai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
06.05.26	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Şəfa - Shimal	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Shimal - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Səbail - Shimal	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.2 TTWLL
- Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan First Division
06.05.26	Difai Ağsu - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Difai Ağsu - Səbail	0:4 ✺
16.04.26	Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Difai Ağsu - Shahdag Qusar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
13.02.26	Difai Ağsu - Shimal	3:1
22.10.25	Shimal - Difai Ağsu	1:4

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