Match Info

I Liqa - Round 6

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	MOIK Baku		Baku Sporting

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.5	2.58
	2.02	3.53	3.05
	2.23	3.26	2.97	Watch
	2.07	3.4	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.9)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.93 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOIK Baku
42.3%

Draw
26.6%

Baku Sporting
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.3%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Baku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MOIK Baku, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

MOIK Baku - Baku Sporting Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MOIK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Babayev H. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 4).

MOIK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

MOIK will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, MOIK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
16.10.25	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	4:1 ✺
02.10.25	Şəfa - MOIK Baku	4:1 ✺
25.09.25	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTL
- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
17.10.25	Baku Sporting - Şəfa	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Baku Sporting - Shimal	4:1 ✺
18.09.25	Shahdag Qusar - Baku Sporting	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
23.05.25	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	0:0
18.12.24	MOIK Baku - Baku Sporting	1:0
19.09.24	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	0:0

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