Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 2

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Henry G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dijon		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.20	3.20
	2.15	3.15	3.2
	2.22	3.46	3.41
	2.23	3.39	3.13	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.35
	2.15	3.38	3.27	Watch
	2.16	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.06)	3.31 ↑ (3.17)	3.26 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
43%

Draw
28.3%

Pau
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Dijon - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 93. Bouleghcha I. 23. Lacroix L. 5. Bernard Q. 42. Aka Y. 8. Bellon P. 14. Marie J. (C) 4. Barreto M. 18. Ndezi B. 29. Ntamack A. 10. Barka Y.	1. Maubleu B. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 4. Dodote A. 88. Bamba A. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 6. Fall C. 21. Benet J. 19. Saettel T. 10. Versini G. 11. Lefebvre A.
Substitutes
15. Bargain A. 21. Chouchane S. 6. Diouf W. 9. Dong T. 17. Lembezat A. 46. Marie-Rose I. (G) 30. Mimoune H. 11. Tavares J. 20. Vargas-Rios H.	8. Basse S. 7. Benali H. 23. Briancon A. 27. Gadegbeku L. 9. Leye B. 14. Openda R. 5. Rajot L. 30. Salles E. (G) 39. Tourraine M.
Coaches
Ridira B.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barka Y. ↓, Dong T. ↑,
58', Versini G. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
58', Lefebvre A. ↓, Leye B. ↑,
58', Saettel T. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Leye B. ⚽, Rajot L. (A),
62', Barreto M. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
62', Marie J. ↓, Lembezat A. ↑,
67', Bamba A. 🟨,
73', Ntamack A. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
79', Benet J. ↓, Gadegbeku L. ↑,
80', Rajot L. 🟨,
88', Aka Y. ↓, Mimoune H. ↑,
88', Kalulu J. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,

Preview

Dijon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Dijon has had a series of away games.

Dijon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dijon: Benyahya A. (Inactive) Delecroix P. (Inactive) Domingues J. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Dijon: 1.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dijon - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.51%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
08.08.26	Montpellier - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Nancy - Dijon	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Sochaux - Dijon	0:3 ✺
22.07.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Dijon	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Le Puy - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
08.08.26	Pau - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Pau - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Real Sociedad B - Pau	4:0 ✺
21.07.26	Espanyol - Pau	4:0 ✺
17.07.26	Pau - Tarbes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.03.23	Dijon - Pau	0:1
06.08.22	Pau - Dijon	0:0
12.02.22	Dijon - Pau	0:1
28.08.21	Pau - Dijon	2:0

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