Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)


	Dijon		Épinal

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.8	7
	1.35	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.99	8.4
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.33	4.8	8.2	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.77)	4.79 ↑ (3.33)	7.87 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
69.1%

Draw
19.2%

Épinal
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dijon's performance.

Épinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Épinal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Épinal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Dijon - Épinal Predictions

Users Predictions: Dijon will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montfort L. (G) 17. Chahid Y. 13. Cisse S. 20. Fdaouch Z. 23. Makutungu C. 14. Marie J. 19. Mendes J. 25. Moco Z. 8. Schur K. 6. Souici R. 5. Temanfo A.	1. Ben Boina S. (G) 28. Aljic M. 11. Camara I. 6. Chere S. 2. Leonard P. 9. Lepaul E. 22. Luvualu D. 17. M'Madi A. 20. Niang A. 15. Umbdenstock I. 4. Zogba M.
Substitutes
34. Ariss Z. 21. Ben Fredj M. 35. Drouhin A. 29. Etoga L. 11. Nassi W.	23. Borodine N. 8. Colin J. 7. Labissiere B. 5. Laurent M. 16. Salhi D. (G)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Dijon is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
06.10.23	Dijon - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	0:0 ✺
29.09.23	Niort - Dijon	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Dijon - Cholet	0:1 ✺
18.09.23	Nancy - Dijon	3:0 ✺
08.09.23	Dijon - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW
- Épinal FC
French Ligue 3
06.10.23	Épinal - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Épinal	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Épinal - Martigues	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Niort - Épinal	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Épinal - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLTLL

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