Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Dimona		Maccabi Shaarayim

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.5
	1.46	3.9	6.4
	1.48	3.93	6.39	Watch
	1.43	3.78	7.41
	1.46	3.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.3)	4.06 ↑ (2.9)	7.22 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimona
64.7%

Draw
22.6%

Maccabi Shaarayim
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dimona's performance.

Maccabi Shaarayim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Shaarayim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimona than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dimona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Shaarayim than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Shaarayim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dimona - Maccabi Shaarayim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
78', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimona won 1.

Recent matches Dimona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Shaarayim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dimona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dimona is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dimona won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Dimona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Dimona
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.25	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Hapoel Azor - Dimona	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	Dimona - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Dimona	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Dimona - Tzeirei Tira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTWLL
- Maccabi Shaarayim
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.03.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
12.03.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:2 ✺
21.02.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Herzliya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Dimona	1:1
16.02.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Dimona	1:0
31.03.23	Maccabi Shaarayim - Dimona	1:1
16.12.22	Dimona - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:1
07.01.22	Maccabi Shaarayim - Dimona	1:3
10.09.21	Dimona - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:1

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