Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Shaarayim		Shimshon Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.68
	3.4	3.5	1.93
	3.44	3.6	1.92	Watch
	3.92	3.3	1.85
	3.4	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.09)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	1.86 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Shaarayim
24.8%

Draw
26.2%

Shimshon Tel Aviv
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.7%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

26%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Shaarayim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Shimshon Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Shaarayim than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Maccabi Shaarayim - Shimshon Tel Aviv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Mugrabi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Kanichowsky Y. ⚽,
48', 1 - 3, Benbenisti L. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Shaarayim won 1.

Maccabi Shaarayim is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shimshon Tel Aviv is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Shaarayim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shimshon Tel Aviv is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Maccabi Shaarayim won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Shaarayim won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Shaarayim
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:2 ✺
21.02.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Herzliya	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLLT
- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.03.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem	2:4 ✺
07.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
29.11.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:0
21.03.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Shaarayim	3:0
29.12.23	Maccabi Shaarayim - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0
23.03.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:0
09.12.22	Maccabi Shaarayim - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:2
12.04.22	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:2
31.12.21	Maccabi Shaarayim - Shimshon Tel Aviv	3:1

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