Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Azersun Arena (Baku) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport
Portugal	18:00	Canal 11
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport


	Dinamo Minsk		Željezničar Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2	3.3	3.3
	2.02	3.35	3.55
	1.99	3.5	3.7
	1.99	3.5	3.7
	1.93	3.62	3.76
	2.04	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.35)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	3.59 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
47.1%

Draw
27%

Željezničar Sarajevo
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Minsk's performance.

Željezničar Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Željezničar Sarajevo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Minsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Željezničar Sarajevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	14.7%	2.9%

Dinamo Minsk - Željezničar Sarajevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 28 - 82.4%). Željezničar will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Minsk: 69.6% – 95.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 15. Svirepa A. 6. Politevich S. (C) 20. Sachivko A. 30. Orinho 77. Rylach A. 44. Selyava A. 7. Bykov A. 9. Bakic D. 18. Morozov V. 13. Bakhar I.	1. Mulalic A. (G) 19. Drina A. 5. Kosoric A. (C) 6. Cocalic E. 24. Galic M. 18. Biber E. 44. Rustemovic E. 8. Mekic N. 33. Jasarevic I. 7. Krpic S. 26. Amoah J.
Substitutes
67. Begunov R. 8. Demchenko N. 2. Kholodov Z. 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 1. Makavchik A. (G) 11. Nikiforenko O. 14. Putilo A. 17. Sedko P. 31. Shpakovski D. (G) 3. Shvetsov M. 24. Vakulich A.	23. Beca O. 17. Drljo A. 30. Dubackic D. 11. Gasal H. 9. Haracic D. 13. Muftic V. (G) 3. Music A. 77. Ovcina H. 14. Stilic S.
Coaches
Skripchenko V.	Basic N.

Preview

2nd leg. Neutral location - Azersun Arena. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Recent matches Dinamo Minsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Željezničar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dinamo Minsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dinamo Minsk have a series of guest games.

Recently Željezničar have a series of home games.

Dinamo Minsk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dinamo Minsk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Dinamo Minsk	2:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.07.23	Torpedo-BelAZ - Dinamo Minsk	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Dinamo Minsk - Belshina	7:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
28.06.23	Zhodino Yuzhnoe - Dinamo Minsk	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.06.23	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTWWL
- Željezničar Sarajevo
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Dinamo Minsk	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sutjeska	Canceled ✺
24.06.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Arsenal Tivat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWT?W

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Dinamo Minsk	2:2

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