The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo Minsk 66.8%
Draw 21.6%
BATE Borisov 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
24.2%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
23.6%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Minsk's performance.
BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Minsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Dinamo Minsk - BATE Borisov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shimakovich I. (G) 44. Gurban G. 67. Begunov R. (C) 26. Kalinin V. 24. Vakulich A. 42. Abdullahi F. 8. Selyava A. 78. Sokolovskiy A. 30. Djimet M. 10. Vardanyan K. 7. Malashevich E.
35. Skopets A. (G) 25. Neskoromnyi N. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 33. Rakhmanov A. (C) 88. Dubovskiy P. 42. Zhurin A. 24. Yatskevich V. 17. Kovalev Y. 7. Angban V. 6. Moussakhanian H. 26. Varaksa V.
Substitutes
27. Aleksandrov M. 11. Alykulov G. 5. Dushevskiy D. 19. Guibero R. 12. Ivanov A. 47. Kudravets A. (G) 13. Poloz V. 3. Shvetsov M. 25. Toure A. 23. Zhechko A.
23. Bochko N. 19. Djordjevic L. 30. Gagloev T. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 18. Kolosovskiy P. 10. Rusakov E. 47. Sakhonchik A. 5. Sakuta M. 21. Titov M.
Coaches
Shagoyko A.
Rogozhkin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kalinin V. ⚽, Sokolovskiy A. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Malashevich E. ⚽, Djimet M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Varaksa V. ↓, Khramtsevich Y. ↑,
46', Zhurin A. ↓, Bochko N. ↑,
66', Yatskevich V. ↓, Djordjevic L. ↑,
69', Vardanyan K. ↓, Zhechko A. ↑,
77', Kalinin V. 🟨,
78', Mikhnyuk I. ↓, Rusakov E. ↑,
81', Sokolovskiy A. ↓, Alykulov G. ↑,
83', Kovalev Y. ↓, Titov M. ↑,
90+4', Malashevich E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14th in the Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Minsk won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Dinamo Minsk (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by BATE have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Dinamo Minsk enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Minsk has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:25 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo Minsk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 10:15 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).