Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 20

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borisov Arena (Barysaw) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	20:00	Belarus 5
Usa	13:00	SportsEngine Play


	BATE Borisov		Minsk

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.00	2.80
	2.31	3.2	3.02
	2.3	3.05	3
	2.48	3.03	2.98
	2.33	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.47)	3.05 ↑ (3)	2.93 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE Borisov
38.9%

Draw
29.9%

Minsk
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

31.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

BATE Borisov - Minsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Skopets A. (G) 23. Bochko N. 55. Kaplenko K. 17. Kovalev Y. 52. Kress E. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 37. Puerto E. 33. Rakhmanov A. (C) 10. Rusakov E. 26. Varaksa V.	30. Gutor A. (G) 13. Aleksievich I. 29. Dubinets I. 88. Jarjue Kabia A. 80. Ksenofontov A. 33. Malitskiy K. 3. Sokol A. 79. Sviridenko I. 15. Yatskevich V. 10. Zherdev G. 17. Zubovich E.
Substitutes
7. Angban V. 88. Dubovskiy P. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 6. Moussakhanian H. 47. Sakhonchik A. 5. Sakuta M. 16. Sokol D. (G) 11. Titov M. 24. Yatskevich V. 42. Zhurin A.	6. Abena F. 9. Dieye M. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 7. Gomis H. 4. Khadarkevich R. 19. Kuchinskiy K. 32. Malyutin V. 20. Sheremet P. 37. Sukharenko M. (G) 23. Turich A.
Coaches
Rogozhkin V.	Chelyadinsky A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Aleksievich I. ⚽, Ksenofontov A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rusakov E. ↓, Angban V. ↑,
46', Kress E. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Varaksa V. ⚽, Puerto E. (A),
62', Zubovich E. ↓, Dieye M. ↑,
62', Malitskiy K. ↓, Kuchinskiy K. ↑,
65', Varaksa V. ↓, Khramtsevich Y. ↑,
72', Kaplenko K. ↓, Sakhonchik A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Sakhonchik A. ⚽,
78', Zherdev G. ↓, Malyutin V. ↑,
80', Bochko N. ↓, Zhurin A. ↑,
90', Ksenofontov A. ↓, Turich A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

BATE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Minsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, BATE won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, BATE won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC Minsk	26	10	4	12	33:36	-3	34
14	BATE	26	4	9	13	19:33	-14	21

Last Results with these Odds

Minsk - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE Borisov
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.26	ML Vitebsk - BATE Borisov	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	BATE Borisov - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Baranovichi - BATE Borisov	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Sion - BATE Borisov	4:0 ✺
23.07.26	BATE Borisov - Sion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWTLT
- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.08.26	Minsk - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Neman Grodno - Minsk	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Gomel - Minsk	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Minsk	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
25.07.26	Belshina - Minsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.04.26	Minsk - BATE Borisov	1:0
30.11.25	Minsk - BATE Borisov	2:0
05.07.25	BATE Borisov - Minsk	0:2
02.08.24	BATE Borisov - Minsk	0:1
16.03.24	Minsk - BATE Borisov	0:1
25.10.23	BATE Borisov - Minsk	1:2
08.04.23	Minsk - BATE Borisov	2:2

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