The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BATE Borisov 65.1%
Draw 21%
Naftan 13.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.8%
20.9%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
19.9%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
BATE Borisov - Naftan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sokol D. (G) 28. Mikhnyuk I. 33. Rakhmanov A. (C) 88. Dubovskiy P. 17. Kovalev Y. 52. Kress E. 7. Angban V. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 37. Puerto E. 26. Varaksa V.
16. Sadovskiy D. (G) 8. Stefanishin A. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 69. Khadzhiev R. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 50. Mafwenta G. 6. Adamovich K. 24. Seleznev I. 11. Pranovich I. 30. Aymanov M. 9. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
23. Bochko N. 30. Gagloev T. 18. Kolosovskiy P. 6. Moussakhanian H. 47. Sakhonchik A. 5. Sakuta M. 35. Skopets A. (G) 21. Titov M. 24. Yatskevich V. 42. Zhurin A.
88. Drabatovich A. 22. Fezhenko V. 57. Galimzyanov T. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 17. Krolik V. 10. Savitskiy A. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
Coaches
Rogozhkin V.
Khrapkovski A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Neskoromnyi N. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Puerto E. ⚽, Kovalev Y. (A),
42', Adamovich K. 🟨,
42', Varaksa V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Puerto E. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
46', Dubovskiy P. ↓, Sakuta M. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Aymanov M. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Sokol D. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Stefanishin A. ⚽, Pranovich I. (A),
66', Angban V. ↓, Moussakhanian H. ↑,
71', Varaksa V. ↓, Titov M. ↑,
74', Kress E. 🟨,
75', Yakovlev V. ↓, Galimzyanov T. ↑,
82', Pranovich I. ↓, Savitskiy A. ↑,
84', Aymanov M. ↓, Voskoboynikov A. ↑,
84', Lebedev A. ↓, Krolik V. ↑,
90+1', Chernyavskiy V. 🟨,
90+2', Stefanishin A. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 2.
BATE has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Naftan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
BATE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, BATE is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, BATE won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:21. (average 2.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, BATE won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.3:0.8).
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Sokol D. (G) 
Angban V. 
Khramtsevich Y. 
Puerto E. 
Mafwenta G. 
Aymanov M. 
Moussakhanian H. 
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