Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Mehdi Hüseynzadə adına Sumqayıt şəhər stadionu (Sumqayit)

Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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France	Canal+ Live 12
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Malaysia	beIN Connect
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Norway	Viaplay
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Sweden	Disney+
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United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Dinamo Minsk		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.5	1.36
	8	4.4	1.35
	9	4.75	1.36	Watch
	8.91	4.58	1.4
	6.36	4.03	1.47
	6.5	4.2	1.44
	9.05	4.79	1.4
	9	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.29 ↑ (5.5)	4.5 ↑ (3.6)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
11.4%

Draw
20.9%

Copenhagen
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

25%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

24.7%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Copenhagen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Copenhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Dinamo Minsk - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pigas V. 6. Politevich S. (C) 4. Gavrilovich A. 66. Rai 24. Kulikov D. 8. Selyava A. 88. Demchenko N. 19. Podstrelov D. 14. Adeola R. 11. Zherdev G.	21. Sander T. (G) 22. Gocholeishvili G. 6. Hatzidiakos P. 5. Gabriel Pereira 2. Diks K. 12. Lerager L. 16. Robert 7. Claesson V. (C) 27. Delaney T. 14. Cornelius A. 10. Elyounoussi M.
Substitutes
29. Amian B. 5. Apetenok P. 7. Budko M. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 26. Kalinin V. 49. Karatai A. (G) 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 3. Okoro J. 74. Sedko P. 13. Shimakovich I. (G) 80. Shkolik I. 99. Sokolovskiy A.	19. Chiakha A. 36. Clem W. 17. Froholdt V. 4. Garananga M. 13. Huescas R. 11. Larsson J. 15. Lopez M. 8. Mattsson M. 9. Onugkha G. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 1. Trott N. (G)
Coaches
Skripchenko V.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Elyounoussi M. ⚽, Claesson V. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Adeola R. ⚽,
24', Zherdev G. 🟨,
29', Delaney T. 🟨,
30', Kulikov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Huescas R. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Diks K. (Pen),
61', Selyava A. ↓, Okoro J. ↑,
68', Podstrelov D. ↓, Amian B. ↑,
68', Kulikov D. ↓, Sedko P. ↑,
72', Claesson V. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
85', Robert ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
86', Adeola R. ↓, Budko M. ↑,
88', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mehdi Hüseynzadə adına Sumqayıt şəhər stadionu.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Copenhagen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Copenhagen is certain favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Sander T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Minsk: Bakhar I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Injury) Meling B. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.11.24	Dinamo Minsk - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
11.11.24	Neman Grodno - Dinamo Minsk	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk	4:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.11.24	Dinamo Minsk - Slutsk	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Dinamo Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWW
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
24.11.24	Copenhagen - Lyngby BK	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Copenhagen - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
04.11.24	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
30.10.24	SønderjyskE - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTTW

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