Match Info

LATVIA: 1. LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Dinamo Rīga		Smiltene

	1	X	2
	1.56	4	4.5
	1.68	3.74	4.2
	1.56	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)	3.91 ↓ (4.5)	4.4 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Rīga
56.4%

Draw
23.1%

Smiltene
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

20.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

19.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Rīga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smiltene might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Rīga than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smiltene could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Dinamo Rīga - Smiltene Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Smiltene will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone 1. Liga (Relegation) and 11).

Dinamo Rīga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Smiltene has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Dinamo Rīga is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dinamo Rīga to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dinamo Rīga won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Rīga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Dinamo Rīga
Latvian 1 Liga
17.09.23	Olaine - Dinamo Rīga	0:4 ✺
02.09.23	Dinamo Rīga - Skanstes	1:4 ✺
26.08.23	JDFS Alberts - Dinamo Rīga	0:4 ✺
19.08.23	Dinamo Rīga - Rīgas FS 2	4:1 ✺
12.08.23	Valmiera 2 - Dinamo Rīga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 51.8 WLWWW
- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
16.09.23	Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Saldus SS Leevon - Smiltene	4:1 ✺
27.08.23	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Smiltene - Olaine	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Skanstes - Smiltene	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
21.05.23	Smiltene - Dinamo Rīga	3:0
16.07.22	Smiltene - Dinamo Rīga	1:0
28.08.21	Dinamo Rīga - Smiltene	3:1
10.10.20	Dinamo Rīga - Smiltene	4:0
Latvian Cup
05.09.20	Smiltene - Dinamo Rīga	3:4 ET

Dinamo Rīga - Smiltene: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide