Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 2

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Smiltene		JFK Ventspils

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.65	2.52
	4.24	4.53	1.59	Watch
	2.25	3.68	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.24)	3.95 ↑ (3.67)	2.21 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smiltene
32.7%

Draw
24.1%

JFK Ventspils
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smiltene's form might have worsened.

JFK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JFK Ventspils's recent form is better than expected.

Smiltene - JFK Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Messina M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Feldmans M. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Lapins J. ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, Lucins A. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Dumins E. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, Zvirbulis K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 0.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Smiltene won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FK Smiltene	21	4	4	13	29:57	-28	16
13	JFK Ventspils	21	3	6	12	21:41	-20	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
22.03.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Smiltene	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Smiltene - Rīgas FS 2	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Smiltene - Rēzekne	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Smiltene - Riga Mariners	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Augšdaugavas - Smiltene	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTLW
- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
21.03.26	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	JFK Ventspils - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Skanstes - JFK Ventspils	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	JDFS Alberts - JFK Ventspils	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Rīgas FS 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
20.09.25	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	2:2
11.05.25	JFK Ventspils - Smiltene	2:1
31.08.24	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	0:2
05.05.24	JFK Ventspils - Smiltene	2:0
27.08.23	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	1:1
29.04.23	JFK Ventspils - Smiltene	0:1

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