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Current Win Probability
Skanstes 43%
Draw 22.9%
Smiltene 34.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51%
21.5%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
21.6%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skanstes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skanstes's form might have worsened.
Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Smiltene's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skanstes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smiltene, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Skanstes - Smiltene Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Attia B. ⚽, Gaismins V. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Gaismins V. ⚽, Cipruss S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Pinkulis P. ⚽, Scerbinskis A. (A),
61', 1 - 3, Stipnieks E. ⚽, Ngai Eba E. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Skanstes (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Smiltene is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Skanstes has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Skanstes holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Skanstes has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:10 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Skanstes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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