Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Dinamo Saint Petersburg		Oryol

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.04	3.98
	2	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)	2.97 ↓ (3.42)	3.74 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Saint Petersburg
45.7%

Draw
30.3%

Oryol
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Oryol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Rybikov N. (G) 21. Baev A. 44. Demin V. 17. Esin V. 94. Evseev A. (C) 95. Gaziev A. 63. Kazarinov A. 9. Pershin M. 5. Polkovnikov M. 88. Torosyan N. 13. Vasiljev P.	75. Zemskov P. (G) 10. Borisov G. 69. Cherepanov S. 9. Gogrichiani G. (C) 14. Gordienko V. 55. Kopylov D. 20. Luksha A. 6. Luzin S. 77. Shcherbakov I. 97. Sokol D. 22. Stavtsev I.
Substitutes
25. Belik I. 4. Belov A. 23. Borodin D. 30. Koldunov N. 15. Masalov A. 31. Meshalkin A. (G) 24. Orlov A. 7. Razborov A. 55. Shepelev V. 10. Shikov N. 11. Umarov R.	31. Bugaenko I. 11. Izotov P. 2. Khmelevskoy S. 24. Kotov N. (G) 88. Leonov A. 8. Merkulov D. 28. Peterson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Gordienko V. ⚽,
51', Baev A. 🟨,
51', Kopylov D. 🟨,
60', Luksha A. 🟨,
62', Gordienko V. 🟨,
65', Torosyan N. 🟨,
66', Pershin M. ↓, Borodin D. ↑,
66', Evseev A. ↓, Shepelev V. ↑,
66', Gaziev A. ↓, Umarov R. ↑,
72', Shcherbakov I. 🟨,
75', Kazarinov A. ↓, Khabarov V. ↑,
77', Stavtsev I. 🟨,
79', Borisov G. ↓, Peterson S. ↑,
79', Luksha A. ↓, Bugaenko I. ↑,
79', Gogrichiani G. 🟨,
80', Torosyan N. ↓, Koldunov N. ↑,
84', Luzin S. ↓, Khmelevskoy S. ↑,
90+1', Gogrichiani G. ↓, Merkulov D. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

Recent performances by Dinamo SP have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oryol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dinamo SP will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dinamo SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Saint Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.09.25	Kvant Obninsk - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Dynamo Bryansk	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Dynamo Vologda - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWTL
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
13.09.25	Oryol - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Rotor 2 - Oryol	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Oryol - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Salyut Belgorod - Oryol	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Oryol - Znamya Truda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.06.25	Oryol - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:1

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