Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Tsentral'nyy Stadion Im. V. I. Lenina (Oryol)


	Oryol		Znamya Truda

	1	X	2
	4.61	3.74	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.78)	3.74 ↑ (3.66)	1.63 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oryol
19.8%

Draw
24.4%

Znamya Truda
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24.8%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24.3%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Znamya Truda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Oryol - Znamya Truda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Zemskov P. (G) 69. Cherepanov S. 9. Gogrichiani G. 14. Gordienko V. 55. Kopylov D. 20. Luksha A. 6. Luzin S. 28. Peterson S. 97. Sokol D. 7. Tarasov M. 21. Yakushin A.	98. Vasiljev V. (G) 33. Agalakov V. 32. Chernobay D. 22. Golubtsov A. 29. Ignatovich E. 21. Kaykov D. 6. Konakov S. 7. Kukushkin A. 14. Peshcherov D. 88. Savin D. 61. Stavpets A.
Substitutes
10. Borisov G. 11. Izotov P. 2. Khmelevskoy S. 24. Kotov N. (G) 99. Kuzmin D. 8. Merkulov D. 4. Mertsalov E. 77. Shcherbakov I.	70. Bagrintsev E. 97. Bosenkov N. 71. Fattakhov A. (G) 78. Hetman N. 13. Kubyshkin I. 5. Lebedev N. 10. Morev E. 77. Ponomarev S. 8. Sabusov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Sokol D. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Savin D. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Yakushin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chernobay D. ↓, Bosenkov N. ↑,
46', Konakov S. ↓, Ponomarev S. ↑,
46', Kukushkin A. ↓, Morev E. ↑,
52', Kaykov D. 🟨,
60', Stavpets A. ↓, Bagrintsev E. ↑,
61', Agalakov V. ↓, Hetman N. ↑,
63', Luksha A. ↓, Borisov G. ↑,
64', Luzin S. ↓, Khmelevskoy S. ↑,
64', Peterson S. ↓, Shcherbakov I. ↑,
65', Golubtsov A. 🟨,
83', Tarasov M. ↓, Merkulov D. ↑,
90+4', Merkulov D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).

Recent performances by Oryol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Znamya Truda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oryol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Oryol has had a series of away games.

In this match, Znamya Truda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oryol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Oryol	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
06.08.25	Broke Boys - Oryol	3:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
03.08.25	Oryol - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Oryol	2:2 ✺
29.06.25	Strogino Moskva - Oryol	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLTW
- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.25	Znamya Truda - Kvant Obninsk	7:2 ✺
02.08.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Znamya Truda	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Znamya Truda - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0 ✺
04.07.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Znamya Truda	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Znamya Truda - Rotor 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.04.25	Znamya Truda - Oryol	5:0

Oryol - Znamya Truda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide