Location: Tsentral'nyy Stadion Im. V. I. Lenina (Oryol)
Oryol
Zenit Penza
1
X
2
2.07
2.92
3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.07 (2.07)
2.92 (2.92)
3.66 (3.66)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oryol 44%
Draw 31.2%
Zenit Penza 24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
28.7%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Oryol have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Zenit Penza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Oryol - Zenit Penza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Oryol (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oryol (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
75. Zemskov P. (G) 69. Cherepanov S. 9. Gogrichiani G. 14. Gordienko V. 55. Kopylov D. 20. Luksha A. 6. Luzin S. 77. Shcherbakov I. 97. Sokol D. 22. Stavtsev I. 7. Tarasov M.
58. Degtev S. (G) 8. Datsenko A. A. 20. Dementjev A. 7. Kashitsyn T. 27. Kolesin N. 2. Kulakov A. 15. Kuptsov D. 77. Makarov P. 23. Makushkin A. 18. Prozorov V. 69. Terechev Y.
Substitutes
10. Borisov G. 31. Bugaenko I. 11. Izotov P. 2. Khmelevskoy S. 24. Kotov N. (G) 99. Kuzmin D. 8. Merkulov D. 4. Mertsalov E. 28. Peterson S.
17. Egorov E. 6. Kleyner M. 4. Nikiforenko E. 10. Oshevnev D. 31. Pustovitenko Y. 95. Smirnov R. 9. Snetkov A. 11. Tarasov Y. 1. Zaynullin T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Shcherbakov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Kolesin N. 🟨,
65', Datsenko A. A. ↓, Egorov E. ↑,
65', Kashitsyn T. ↓, Tarasov Y. ↑,
65', Dementjev A. ↓, Nikiforenko E. ↑,
72', Shcherbakov I. ↓, Peterson S. ↑,
72', Luksha A. ↓, Borisov G. ↑,
72', Luzin S. ↓, Khmelevskoy S. ↑,
74', Gogrichiani G. ↓, Bugaenko I. ↑,
77', Kolesin N. ↓, Snetkov A. ↑,
77', Prozorov V. ↓, Oshevnev D. ↑,
80', Tarasov M. ↓, Izotov P. ↑,
90+4', Bugaenko I. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 3.
Oryol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zenit Penza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Oryol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Oryol could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Oryol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
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Zemskov P. (G) 
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