Match Info

Date: 7 July 2021, Wednesday


	Dinamo Tbilisi		Neftchi Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.95	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.65	2.95	2.65
	2.73	3.16	2.73
	2.62	2.87	2.7
	2.69	3.06	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.02)	3 ↓ (3.32)	2.74 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi
35%

Draw
31%

Neftchi Baku
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

18.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Tbilisi's form might have worsened.

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Baku's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dinamo Tbilisi - Neftchi Baku Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Dinamo Tbilisi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neftchi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neftchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Neftchi have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.07.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dinamo Batumi	1:2 ✺
27.06.21	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
23.06.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:2 ✺
19.06.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
13.06.21	Samtredia - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Neftchi Baku
Club Friendly
29.06.21	Spartak Moscow - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
24.06.21	Domžale - Neftchi Baku	2:1 ✺
21.06.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Neftchi Baku	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.05.21	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
14.05.21	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLTWW

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