Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 18

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi)

Referee: Aptsiauri A. (Geo)


	Dinamo Tbilisi		Samgurali Tskhaltubo

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.20
	1.72	3.35	4.25	Watch
	1.79	3.55	4.50
	1.74	3.49	4.43	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.00
	1.71	3.42	4.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.39 ↓ (3.58)	4.31 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi
52.2%

Draw
26.8%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

27%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Dinamo Tbilisi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Samgurali Tskhaltubo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Tbilisi will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Makatsaria M. (G) 5. Kharebashvili S. 3. Kalandadze A. 27. Kurdic N. 6. Leo Santos 24. Osei B. 22. Ninua N. (C) 10. Kharaishvili G. 26. Yoro A. 13. Ramos R. 11. Vatsadze M.	1. Kutaladze L. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. 3. Jarjue Kabia A. 39. Ryan 27. Shergelashvili L. (C) 8. Berelidze T. 5. Janjgava I. 11. Wellissol 15. Carlos J. 17. Tsetskhladze N. 28. Claudio Cebolinha
Substitutes
38. Chochoshvili D. (G) 7. Doltmurziev K. 17. Donkor N. K. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 21. Kvartskhava D. 20. Monteiro R. 25. Onomah J. 19. Siradze I. 32. Tsikolia L.	18. Chkhetiani S. 22. Gogia G. 33. Jefinho 2. Kvaratskhelia L. 9. Papava L. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. 21. Siukaev A. (G)
Coaches
Ketsbaia T.	Oniani G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Wellissol ⚽, Berelidze T. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Ramos R. ⚽, Vatsadze M. (A),
14', Wellissol 🟨,
15', 2 - 1, Kalandadze A. ⚽, Ninua N. (A),
37', 2 - 2, Wellissol ⚽, Gegetchkori L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 3 - 2, Leo Santos ⚽, Kharebashvili S. (A),
59', Kharaishvili G. ↓, Doltmurziev K. ↑,
65', Vatsadze M. ↓, Kvartskhava D. ↑,
65', Ramos R. ↓, Siradze I. ↑,
65', Tsetskhladze N. ↓, Gogia G. ↑,
65', Gegetchkori L. ↓, Kvaratskhelia L. ↑,
66', 4 - 2, Doltmurziev K. ⚽, Kharebashvili S. (A),
69', Berelidze T. ↓, Papava L. ↑,
73', Kvaratskhelia L. 🟨,
76', Carlos J. ↓, Chkhetiani S. ↑,
78', Doltmurziev K. ↓, Kvaratskhelia T. ↑,
78', Kharebashvili S. ↓, Tsikolia L. ↑,
79', 5 - 2, Yoro A. ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 3, Wellissol (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Makatsaria M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tbilisi won 1.

Recent performances by Dinamo Tbilisi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samgurali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Dinamo Tbilisi is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tbilisi won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Tbilisi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	45:30	15	48
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	38:52	-14	32

Last Results with these Odds

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - the odds 4.16 are the expected chance of winning is 22.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
14.06.26	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:6 ✺
24.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Dila Gori - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTW
- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
13.06.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Iberia 1999	3:2 ✺
21.05.26	Rustavi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Spaeri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
25.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2
Club Friendly
02.02.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.10.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1
10.08.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:1
29.04.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0
06.03.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1
05.10.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2

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