The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftchi Baku 26.8%
Draw 25.7%
Qarabağ Agdam 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
26.6%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Piric K. (G) 15. Badalov E. 11. Faraj I. 5. Igor Ribeiro 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 18. Mathew I. 22. Ortiz L. 7. Safarov E. 24. Seck M. 70. Shtogrin A. 10. Vargas F.
99. Kochalski M. (G) 27. Bayramov T. 55. Huseynov B. (C) 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 2. Matheus Silva 81. Medina K. 9. Montiel J. 35. Pedro Bicalho 22. Qurbanly M. 10. Zoubir A.
Substitutes
1. Balayev E. (G) 4. Camalov E. 27. Costin C. 28. Curci A. 6. D'Almeida S. 81. Hasanov M. (G) 17. Khachayev M. 14. Kuc E. 47. Mammadov M. 23. Rezabala J. 19. Salyanskiy A. 9. Sambou B.
11. Addai E. 97. Buntic F. (G) 17. Duran C. 24. Gnali J. 20. Kady Borges 21. Kashchuk O. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 77. Sheydayev R.
Coaches
Vernidub Y.
Qurbanov Q.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Qurbanly M. ⚽,
14', Matheus Silva 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Badalov E. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Qurbanly M. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Montiel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Bayramov T. 🟨,
60', Ortiz L. 🟨,
61', Mathew I. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
61', Ortiz L. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
68', 1 - 4, Leandro Andrade ⚽,
72', Faraj I. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
72', Vargas F. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
76', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Kady Borges ↑,
76', Qurbanly M. ↓, Duran C. ↑,
78', Mahmudov E. ↓, Kuc E. ↑,
83', Rezabala J. 🟨,
83', Matheus Silva ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
83', Zoubir A. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 5, Addai E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 0.
Neftchi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Qarabağ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Qarabağ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 10:58. (average 0.5:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:26. (average 0.6:2.6).
Azerbaijan
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Piric K. (G) 
Badalov E. 
Faraj I. 
Igor Ribeiro 
Mathew I. 
Ortiz L. 
Seck M. 
Shtogrin A. 
Vargas F. 
Kochalski M. (G) 
Jankovic M. 
Leandro Andrade 
Medina K. 
Costin C. 
Curci A. 
D'Almeida S. 
Rezabala J. 
Sambou B. 
Addai E. 
Buntic F. (G) 
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