Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium (Sumqayit)

Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sumgayit		Neftchi Baku

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.50	1.62
	4.20	3.30	1.72	Watch
	5.54	3.75	1.58
	3.96	3.31	1.88	Watch
	5.55	3.65	1.57
	5.54	3.52	1.57
	4.30	3.40	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↓ (5.51)	3.49 ↓ (3.76)	1.67 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumgayit
18.9%

Draw
26.2%

Neftchi Baku
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

24.2%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farzullayev K. (G) 8. Abdullazada S. (C) 17. Ahmadzada N. 42. Badolo C. 3. Haqverdi H. 9. Jeam 55. Lucas Black 75. Orujov N. 97. Pashayev V. 5. Renan Santana 4. Suliman E.	1. Balayev E. (G) 3. Abbasov R. 14. Badalov E. 33. Breno Almeida 6. D'Almeida S. 5. Igor Ribeiro 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 77. Sacko F. 7. Safarov E. 29. Tupta L. 10. Vargas F.
Substitutes
34. Abbasli U. 12. Arixov A. (G) 11. Jankovic A. 20. Suleymanly A. 21. Tiago Almeida 10. Vasquez R.	93. Cafarov R. (G) 4. Camalov E. 55. Gravillon A. 20. Gustavo Klismahn 81. Hasanov M. (G) 17. Khachayev M. 82. Mammadli M. 24. Seck M. 80. Shirinov A. 70. Shtogrin A. 11. Skribek A.
Coaches
Candido F.	Vernidub Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Breno Almeida ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Tupta L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pashayev V. ↓, Jankovic A. ↑,
47', Sacko F. 🟨,
55', 0 - 3, Breno Almeida ⚽,
65', Mahmudov E. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
65', Vargas F. ↓, Skribek A. ↑,
66', Badolo C. ↓, Suleymanly A. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Orujov N. ⚽,
73', D'Almeida S. 🟨,
73', Ahmadzada N. 🟨,
73', Breno Almeida 🟨,
74', Abdullazada S. 🟥,
79', D'Almeida S. ↓, Camalov E. ↑,
81', Orujov N. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
86', Safarov E. ↓, Gravillon A. ↑,
86', Abbasov R. ↓, Seck M. ↑,
88', Tupta L. 🟨,
88', Jeam ↓, Tiago Almeida ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 0.

Neftchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Neftchi is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
22.05.26	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	3:4 ✺
17.05.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	İmişli - Sumgayit	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW
- Neftchi Baku
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Dinamo Minsk - Neftchi Baku	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Neftchi Baku - Dinamo Minsk	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.26	Neftchi Baku - Osijek	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Radnički Niš - Neftchi Baku	0:3 ✺
06.07.26	Partizan - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
05.04.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3
15.12.25	Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit	2:2
21.09.25	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	0:2
28.04.25	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	2:2
21.02.25	Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit	1:0
08.12.24	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	2:0
28.09.24	Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit	1:1

Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide