Match Info

League One - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)


	Dingnan United		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.38	2.95	3.00
	2.34	3.24	3.29
	2.74	2.74	2.94	Watch
	2.30	3.20	3.00
	2.29	3.22	3.12	Watch
	2.35	3.00	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
39.1%

Draw
30.5%

Wuxi Wugou
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Wuxi Wugou aligns with the current prediction.

Dingnan United - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Du Jia (G) 28. Cheng Yetong 27. Wang Sihan 4. Daciel 16. Li Zhi 23. Du Junpeng 18. Fan Bojian (C) 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 10. Tang Shi 9. Ma Chenghao 11. Erikys	13. Zhu Yueqi (C) 27. He Wei 5. Lin Jiahao 4. Isic T. 16. Zhou Pinxi 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 31. Zhou Yunyi 36. Tang Rui 7. Albarracin N. 37. Yi Xianlong 19. Noordanus N.
Substitutes
25. Gao J. 22. Gao S. 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 21. Hu Jiajin 37. Petrov M. 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 45. Yang B. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 32. Zhang Ruiqi 8. Zhang Zimin	11. Beshathan Zanhar 23. Dong Kaining 21. Gao Jingchun 39. Liu Pengfei (G) 15. Mao Ziyu 17. Sun Z. 33. Wang Shengbo 9. Wang Yifan 25. Wang Zihao 24. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Mao Biao	Kim Bong-Gil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Yi Xianlong ⚽, Zhou Yunyi (A),
25', 1 - 1, Ma Chenghao ⚽, Fan Bojian (A),
30', 1 - 2, Zhou Yunyi ⚽, Yi Xianlong (A),
37', Lin Jiahao 🟨,
42', Zhou Pinxi 🟨,
42', Isic T. 🟨,
44', 2 - 2, Erikys (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Wang Sihan 🟨,
53', 2 - 3, Noordanus N. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
62', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Hu Jiajin ↑,
62', Wang Sihan ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
68', Cheng Yetong ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
70', Hao Yucheng 🟨,
72', Albarracin N. ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
75', Ma Chenghao ↓, Han Yuchen ↑,
76', Fan Bojian ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
80', Zhou Yunyi ↓, Dong Kaining ↑,
80', Yi Xianlong ↓, Wang Yifan ↑,
87', He Wei 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Erikys ⚽, Daciel (A),
90+2', Tang Shi 🟥,
90+3', He Wei ↓, Gao Jingchun ↑,
90+3', Noordanus N. ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
90+5', Tang Rui 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

Recent form of Dingnan United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Wuxi Wugou has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wuxi Wugou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Wuxi Wugou	25	9	6	10	38:31	7	33
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
13.06.26	Dingnan United - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dingnan United	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Shanghai Zetian - Dingnan United	4:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
09.05.26	Dingnan United - Changchun Yatai	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Wuxi Wugou - Qingdao Hainiu	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Wuxi Wugou - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	1:3 ✺
23.05.26	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.05.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wuxi Wugou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTW

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