The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Suzhou Dongwu 22%
Draw 32.6%
Wuxi Wugou 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
31%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
31.1%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suzhou Dongwu's form might have worsened.
Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuxi Wugou's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Liu Yu (G) 24. Zhang Jiansheng 45. Mijit M. 33. Liu Jiqiang 8. Gao D. 17. Wang Jiancong 15. Jin Qiang 6. Estrela (C) 20. Chen Rong 30. He Haohan 9. Ali M.
13. Zhu Yueqi (C) 27. He Wei 4. Isic T. 5. Lin Jiahao 16. Zhou Pinxi 31. Zhou Yunyi 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 36. Tang Rui 7. Albarracin N. 37. Yi Xianlong 19. Noordanus N.
Substitutes
42. Arafat Ghenifa 37. Askhan (G) 29. Chen Ao 11. Gong Yunyang 27. Lei Zhibo (G) 2. Song Bowei 18. Tai Jianfeng 39. Tian Jiahao 26. Wang B. 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie
11. Beshathan Zanhar 23. Dong Kaining 21. Gao Jingchun 14. Hao Kesen (G) 30. Li Boxi 15. Mao Ziyu 17. Sun Z. 8. Tursun Qeyser 33. Wang Shengbo 9. Wang Yifan 25. Wang Zihao 3. Xie Xiaofan
Coaches
Yu Yuanwei
Kim Bong-Gil
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Noordanus N. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
21', Jin Qiang 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Gao D. ⚽, Estrela (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Yi Xianlong ⚽, Tang Rui (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Tai Jianfeng ↑,
57', Isic T. 🟨,
65', Ali M. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
65', He Haohan ↓, Arafat Ghenifa ↑,
75', Tang Rui ↓, Wang Yifan ↑,
76', Zhou Pinxi ↓, Xie Xiaofan ↑,
79', Wang Jiancong ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
81', Yi Xianlong ↓, Wang Shengbo ↑,
85', Chen Rong ↓, Song Bowei ↑,
86', Albarracin N. ↓, Tursun Qeyser ↑,
86', Zhou Yunyi ↓, Dong Kaining ↑,
88', Liu Jiqiang 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Noordanus N. ⚽, Tursun Qeyser (A),
90+6', Noordanus N. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Suzhou Dongwu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Wuxi Wugou's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Wuxi Wugou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Wuxi Wugou might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Watch
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Liu Yu (G) 
Estrela (C) 
Isic T. 
Albarracin N. 
Noordanus N. 
Kim Bong-Gil 
