Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Diocesano		Racing Valverdeño

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.53	3.78	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	3.74 ↓ (3.78)	5.35 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
59%

Draw
24.1%

Racing Valverdeño
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

17.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Racing Valverdeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diocesano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Valverdeño than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Valverdeño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Diocesano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing Valverdeño has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Diocesano is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Diocesano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Diocesano - Villafranca	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Fuente de Cantos - Diocesano	1:3 ✺
12.10.23	Diocesano - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Diocesano - Moralo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLW
- Racing Valverdeño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Castuera	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	Moralo - Racing Valverdeño	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
12.10.23	Olivenza - Racing Valverdeño	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Jerez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.03.21	Racing Valverdeño - Diocesano	0:1
20.12.20	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	4:0
08.03.20	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	3:0
10.02.19	Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño	2:1

Diocesano - Racing Valverdeño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide