Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Azuaga		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	8.1
	1.3	4.74	7.74
	1.32	4.74	8.29
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.29	4.8	8.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	4.71 ↑ (4.67)	8.22 ↑ (8.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuaga
69.7%

Draw
19.3%

Diocesano
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.4%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

18.6%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Azuaga - Diocesano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 2.

Azuaga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Diocesano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Azuaga has had a series of away games.

In this match, Azuaga is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Azuaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Azuaga	5	5	0	0	14:2	12	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Villafranca - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Santa Amalia - Azuaga	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Jerez - Azuaga	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Azuaga - Gévora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWWW
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Diocesano - Gévora	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Calamonte - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Pueblonuevo - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Diocesano - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Jaraíz - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.25	Diocesano - Azuaga	3:1
02.02.25	Diocesano - Azuaga	0:2
22.09.24	Azuaga - Diocesano	0:2
17.03.24	Diocesano - Azuaga	3:3
29.10.23	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1
14.04.22	Diocesano - Azuaga	1:2
12.12.21	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1

Azuaga - Diocesano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide