Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 11

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Diocesano		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.9	3	2.55
	2.65	2.9	2.55
	2.67	2.89	2.8
	2.88	2.8	2.45
	2.57	2.99	2.7
	2.65	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.11)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	2.59 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
33.6%

Draw
31.2%

Unión Adarve
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

29.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.4%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Adarve might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Adarve could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diocesano - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Diocesano - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	CD Guadalajara - Diocesano	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Diocesano - Socuéllamos	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Diocesano - Leganés B	2:3 ✺
16.10.22	Cacereño - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLLL
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Unión Adarve - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Villanovense - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	3:3 ✺
16.10.22	Melilla - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL

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