Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 9

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Diocesano		Socuéllamos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.11	3	3.75
	2.17	3	3.15
	2.44	2.88	3.19
	2.27	3.1	3.04
	2.2	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.6)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.23 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
41.2%

Draw
30.5%

Socuéllamos
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

30.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diocesano's performance.

Socuéllamos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Socuéllamos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diocesano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Socuéllamos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diocesano - Socuéllamos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Diocesano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Socuéllamos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Diocesano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.22	Diocesano - Leganés B	2:3 ✺
16.10.22	Cacereño - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
12.10.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Diocesano	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Diocesano - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Atlético Paso - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWTL
- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.10.22	Socuéllamos - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Villanovense - Socuéllamos	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Socuéllamos - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Melilla - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
25.09.22	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWLL

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